Who voted for Prop J? Suburbanites

Much of the rhetoric against CodeNEXT focused on the theory that added density would lead to more gentrification and displacement on the east side.

To drive home that message, Community Not Commodity, the group run by Fred Lewis, made a big point of highlighting support from a number of longtime East Austin civic/neighborhood leaders (Ora Houston, Nelson Linder, Susana Almanza, Jane Rivera). But it remained clear that the great majority of those pushing the anti-CodeNEXT/Prop J drive were members of the Central/West Austin neighborhood establishment.

In fact, Prop J fared particularly poorly on the east side.

Screen Shot 2018-11-09 at 1.53.11 PM.png
Dark blue precincts indicate more than 60% support. Turquoise = 50-55% support. Yellow = 45-50%. Orange = 40-45%. Red = less than 40% support.

Then again, Prop J did not do as well in the Central Austin areas that have traditionally been home to the most vocal and influential anti-development neighborhood associations. The only areas near the core where it performed well were the super-rich neighborhoods straddling MoPac (Tarrytown, Old West Austin, Bryker Woods).

Instead, Prop J performed best way out in the suburbs –- west, north, south, east. Many of these areas are not even in the city limits, but they got to vote since they’re in the Extraterritorial Jurisdiction. Ironically, these are the parts of the region that are least likely to be targeted for increased density. In fact, a new land development code will seek to reduce the rate of growth in those areas by allowing more density in the urban core.

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